Bryan’s Blog

Infinite possibilities is not the trap

My stats guru colleague Dr Andrew Pratley and I are on the move to tackle Quantifornication, the plucking of numbers out of thin air. Here is the fourth in a series we are co-writing. We all have a tendency to overestimate our knowledge. And as a result, we believe that we know things which we don’t. Our

From Guestimate to Estimate – As simple as 1,2,3

My stats guru colleague Dr Andrew Pratley and I are on the move to tackle Quantifornication, the plucking of numbers out of thin air. Here is the third in a series we are co-writing. Why do so many educators in statistics consistently fail to translate these ideas into something that people can both remember and use? The

The Danger of the Guessing Game

My stats guru colleague Dr Andrew Pratley and I are on the move to tackle Quantifornication, the plucking of numbers out of thin air. Here is the first in a series co-written together. We’re far better at identifying good and bad writing than we are identifying good and bad numbers. The premise of this idea almost doesn’t

Pointed Estimates

My stats guru colleague Dr Andrew Pratley and I are on the move to tackle Quantifornication, the plucking of numbers out of thin air. Here is the first in a series co-written together. One of the biggest problems with estimates is that it takes a long time to find out if you were right. A year for

Accuracy over Buckshot

WARNING – If you are a vegetarian, vegan or an animal lover you may be offended by the story in this blog post. When you’re presented with numbers you don’t know if they are buckshot or accurate. You often assume the latter when it is often the former. You must often witness people plucking out